Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+6.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 33%
+24% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.26/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.37
+90% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
11.05.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
03.11.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
22.04.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
16.10.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
03.10.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-0 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
2-2
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
2 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk and Dynamo Kiev couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 2-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.50 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev?

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 35%, draw 27%, Dynamo Kiev 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
27 Apr 2025
13:00 Vorskla Poltava vs Veres Rivne Analysis →
15:30 Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya Analysis →