Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.64/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.08
-43% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.05.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
03.11.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-1 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
22.04.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
16.10.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
03.10.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-0 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
22.09.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
1-1
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev and Shakhtar Donetsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Dynamo Kiev had 53% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk's 47%, shots finished 14-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dynamo Kiev and 1.50 for Shakhtar Donetsk.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 40%, draw 27%, Shakhtar Donetsk 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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