Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.6pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.31/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.52
-6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
244 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
19.11.2024 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-0 HT 2-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
30.06.2024 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-1 HT 0-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
20.10.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 1-1 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
04.06.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-0 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
30.09.2022 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 1-1 HT 0-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
19.08.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-2 HT 0-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1-0
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Xi Mang Hai Phong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoang Anh Gia Lai nicked a narrow win over Xi Mang Hai Phong 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Hoang Anh Gia Lai made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had 47% of the ball to Xi Mang Hai Phong's 53%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xi Mang Hai Phong led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.50 for Xi Mang Hai Phong.

What was the final score of Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 Xi Mang Hai Phong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoang Anh Gia Lai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hoang Anh Gia Lai 38%, draw 33%, Xi Mang Hai Phong 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai) ✓ Under 2.5
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