Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.38/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.51
-23% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 1-1 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
04.06.2023 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-0 HT 0-0 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
30.09.2022 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 1-1 HT 0-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
19.08.2022 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-2 HT 0-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong VİET
02.04.2021 Xi Mang Hai Phong Xi Mang Hai Phong 0-2 HT 0-1 Hoang Anh Gia Lai Hoang Anh Gia Lai VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoang Anh Gia Lai
2-1
AWAY Xi Mang Hai Phong
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Xi Mang Hai Phong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoang Anh Gia Lai squeezed past Xi Mang Hai Phong 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hoang Anh Gia Lai as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hoang Anh Gia Lai had 42% of the ball to Xi Mang Hai Phong's 58%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Xi Mang Hai Phong led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hoang Anh Gia Lai and 1.20 for Xi Mang Hai Phong.

What was the final score of Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Hoang Anh Gia Lai 2-1 Xi Mang Hai Phong in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Xi Mang Hai Phong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoang Anh Gia Lai win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hoang Anh Gia Lai 47%, draw 25%, Xi Mang Hai Phong 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoang Anh Gia Lai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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