Binh Dinh 4-1 Cong An Nhan Dan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Binh Dinh EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.00/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.64
-32% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Binh Dinh
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 1-1 HT 0-1 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
22.07.2023 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 0-1 HT 0-1 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan VİET
03.02.2023 Cong An Nhan Dan Cong An Nhan Dan 5-0 HT 2-0 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Binh Dinh
4-1
AWAY Cong An Nhan Dan
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 27
8 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Binh Dinh vs Cong An Nhan Dan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Binh Dinh cruised past Cong An Nhan Dan 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Binh Dinh as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Binh Dinh had 33% of the ball to Cong An Nhan Dan's 67%, shots finished 11-27.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cong An Nhan Dan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Binh Dinh and 2.33 for Cong An Nhan Dan.

What was the final score of Binh Dinh vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Binh Dinh 4-1 Cong An Nhan Dan in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Binh Dinh vs Cong An Nhan Dan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Binh Dinh win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Binh Dinh 45%, draw 26%, Cong An Nhan Dan 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Binh Dinh), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Binh Dinh) ✓ Over 2.5
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