Al Raed 1-2 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2026

Al Raed
1-2 HT 1-0
Al Faisaly
📅27/04/2026 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Al Raed vs Al Faisaly Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.49
No
35%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.7pp
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
+2.3pp
35%
BTTS No
37%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Raed v Al Faisaly — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 34%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
0.73/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.35
-49% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Al Raed vs Al Faisaly Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Faisaly
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
305 Passes 273
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.01.2026 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 5-3 HT 2-2 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD1
18.02.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
25.09.2021 Al Raed Al Raed 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
10.03.2021 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
11.12.2020 Al Raed Al Raed 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
04.09.2020 Al Raed Al Raed 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly nicked a narrow win over Al Raed 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Raed at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Raed and 1.50 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Faisaly?

Al Raed 1-2 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 42%, draw 25%, Al Faisaly 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Raed) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Raed) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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