Trelleborgs FF 3-2 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 27% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.66/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.46
+3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
1W-2D-3L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
01.05.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 3-4 HT 3-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
29.09.2021 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-0 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
05.06.2021 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
27.09.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-1 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
03.07.2020 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-1 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trelleborgs FF
3-2
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF nicked a narrow win over GIF Sundsvall 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trelleborgs FF as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Trelleborgs FF had 46% of the ball to GIF Sundsvall's 54%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIF Sundsvall led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 1.67 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs GIF Sundsvall?

Trelleborgs FF 3-2 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 47%, draw 29%, GIF Sundsvall 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trelleborgs FF), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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