Utsiktens BK 1-0 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 27 May 2024

Utsiktens BK
1-0 HT 0-0
IK Brage
📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Utsiktens BK vs IK Brage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 31% vs market 26.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.77
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
13%
5.45
X/2
16%
5.38
X/X
16%
4.53
2/1
4%
29.5
2/2
17%
3.71
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utsiktens BK v IK Brage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.77/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.44
+22% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Utsiktens BK vs IK Brage Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
3W-0D-2L
AWAY IK Brage
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.03.2024 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-3 HT 0-2 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇK
27.08.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 3-0 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
14.05.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 4-1 HT 2-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
05.09.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 1-2 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
26.06.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utsiktens BK squeezed past IK Brage 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Utsiktens BK found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Utsiktens BK had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Utsiktens BK and 1.60 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs IK Brage?

Utsiktens BK 1-0 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 33%, draw 27%, IK Brage 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (IK Brage), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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