AIK 5-2 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.78
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
17%
4.36
X/2
5%
6.9
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
19%
5.26
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.70/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.50
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
21.1 Crosses 21.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Göteborg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 0.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
398 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
15.05.2023 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
24.10.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
07.05.2022 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
20.09.2021 AIK AIK 3-1 HT 3-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
19.04.2021 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 2-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
5-2
AWAY Göteborg
3.41 xG 0.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
30 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
384 Passes 348
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AIK vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK cruised past Göteborg 5-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AIK had 51% of the ball to Göteborg's 49%, shots finished 30-13, expected goals 3.41 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AIK and 1.17 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of AIK vs Göteborg?

AIK 5-2 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AIK 43%, draw 24%, Göteborg 33%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Over 2.5
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