Norrköping 0-4 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+8.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.28/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/2.00
-16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
21.3 Crosses 14.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
3W-1D-1L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.08 xG 1.43
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
218 Passes 456
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
16.04.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 2-1 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
24.10.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
02.05.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 2-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
17.02.2019 Norrköping Norrköping 3-1 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
0-4
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.22 xG 2.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
12 Corners 4
416 Passes 370
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 23
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo ran out comfortable winners over Norrköping 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; IFK Varnamo found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Norrköping had 54% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 46%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.22 to 2.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Norrköping had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Norrköping and 1.00 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs IFK Varnamo?

Norrköping 0-4 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 39%, draw 24%, IFK Varnamo 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Norrköping), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrköping) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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