Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-3 Bochum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga Play-Out, 27 May 2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf
0-3 HT 0-1
Bochum
📅27/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga Play-Out – 2023/2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Bochum Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.21
Over
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.63
2-3
38%
1.9
4-5
26%
2.86
6+
14%
8.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.7
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X ✗
11%
12.5
X/1
18%
4.9
X/2
13%
7.34
X/X
9%
5.39
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
13%
4.75
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/X at 12.5 — our 11% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.2pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Bochum — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bochum EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Bochum Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bochum
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.51 xG 1.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 Passes 381
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.05.2024 Bochum Bochum 0-3 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL1P
21.07.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 Bochum Bochum HAZ
22.03.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-3 HT 0-2 Bochum Bochum AL2
30.11.2020 Bochum Bochum 5-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
06.04.2018 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-2 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
30.10.2017 Bochum Bochum 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-3 Bochum — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
0-3
AWAY Bochum
1.32 xG 2.70
36% Ball Possession 64%
22 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 8
14 Corners 8
245 Passes 577
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 33
34 Crosses 48
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Bochum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum swept aside Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 36% of the ball to Bochum's 64%, shots finished 22-23, expected goals 1.32 to 2.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.83 for Bochum.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Bochum?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 0-3 Bochum in the Germany - Bundesliga Play-Out on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Bochum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 42%, draw 26%, Bochum 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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