Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.27
6+ Goals
11%
21.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 51%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.40/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.20
+28% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Gomel
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Gomel Gomel 3-0 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev HAZ
28.08.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-4 HT 0-2 Gomel Gomel BLR
17.04.2022 Gomel Gomel 3-1 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
20.07.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0-1
AWAY Gomel
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel squeezed past Dnepr Mogilev 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gomel as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 42% of the ball to Gomel's 58%, shots finished 10-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gomel led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 2.75 for Gomel.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Gomel?

Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 28%, draw 25%, Gomel 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gomel), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gomel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →