Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
47%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
13%
+14.7pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.4pp
47%
Away Win
68%
-21.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 72%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.00/2.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/0.00
-100% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
223 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
01.12.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-2 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
04.08.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-2 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
06.06.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
23.05.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 0-1 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
0-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali nicked a narrow win over Botev Plovdiv 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 37% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 63%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 1.80 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Botev Plovdiv 0-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 28%, draw 26%, Arda Kardzhali 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
27 May 2024
20:00 Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia Analysis →