Melhus 2-2 Rosenborg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.24
No
38%
3.59
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-5.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
76%
-14.2pp
38%
BTTS No
24%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 49%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.91/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.46
+7% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melhus
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rosenborg II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2022 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
01.09.2022 Melhus Melhus 4-1 HT 2-1 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melhus
2-2
AWAY Rosenborg II
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Rosenborg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus and Rosenborg II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Melhus had 32% of the ball to Rosenborg II's 68%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Melhus and 1.50 for Rosenborg II.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Rosenborg II?

Melhus 2-2 Rosenborg II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Rosenborg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Melhus 35%, draw 26%, Rosenborg II 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rosenborg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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