Sarpsborg 08 II 3-1 KFUM II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.32
No
44%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.91
2-3 Goals
40%
2.3
4-5 Goals
28%
2.4
6+ Goals
11%
4.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.2pp
44%
BTTS No
28%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM II EU Bookmakers 37%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.63/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/1.00
-22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +104%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY KFUM II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
29.10.2023 KFUM II KFUM II 5-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
11.04.2023 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 1-2 HT 0-2 KFUM II KFUM II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
3-1
AWAY KFUM II
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs KFUM II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II got the better of KFUM II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) promised a tight game; Sarpsborg 08 II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 47% of the ball to KFUM II's 53%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, KFUM II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sarpsborg 08 II and 3.50 for KFUM II.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs KFUM II?

Sarpsborg 08 II 3-1 KFUM II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs KFUM II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 40%, draw 22%, KFUM II 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
27 May 2024
20:00 Melhus vs Rosenborg II Analysis →
20:00 Bjorkelangen vs Molde II Analysis →