Houston Sur 0-2 Brazos Valley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.43
Over 2.5
63%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-5.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Sur EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Brazos Valley EU Bookmakers 66%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.72
+37% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +81%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
319 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Houston Sur vs Brazos Valley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brazos Valley beat Houston Sur 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brazos Valley as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Houston Sur vs Brazos Valley?

Houston Sur 0-2 Brazos Valley in the USA - USL League 2 on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Sur vs Brazos Valley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brazos Valley win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Houston Sur 22%, draw 22%, Brazos Valley 56%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brazos Valley) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brazos Valley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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