River Light 3-3 St. Charles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 27 May 2024

📅27/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.61
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.2pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Light EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Charles EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH River Light vs St. Charles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Light and St. Charles couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of River Light vs St. Charles?

River Light 3-3 St. Charles in the USA - USL League 2 on 27/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Light vs St. Charles?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Light win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split River Light 40%, draw 26%, St. Charles 34%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (River Light) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Light) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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