Audax Italiano 4-3 Huachipato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 27 May 2025

📅27/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audax Italiano EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Huachipato EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.47/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.35
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.0 Crosses 19.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audax Italiano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Huachipato
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.86 xG 0.99
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
254 Passes 318
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 0-2 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
21.05.2024 Huachipato Huachipato 0-1 HT 0-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
09.12.2023 Huachipato Huachipato 2-0 HT 0-0 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
20.05.2023 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-0 HT 1-0 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
10.07.2022 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano 1-1 HT 0-1 Huachipato Huachipato ŞİL
13.02.2022 Huachipato Huachipato 2-1 HT 1-1 Audax Italiano Audax Italiano ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audax Italiano
4-3
AWAY Huachipato
4.29 xG 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
23 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
225 Passes 256
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Audax Italiano vs Huachipato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audax Italiano squeezed past Huachipato 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Audax Italiano as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Audax Italiano had 48% of the ball to Huachipato's 52%, shots finished 23-11, expected goals 4.29 to 3.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Audax Italiano's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huachipato led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Audax Italiano and 1.17 for Huachipato.

What was the final score of Audax Italiano vs Huachipato?

Audax Italiano 4-3 Huachipato in the Chile - Premier League on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audax Italiano vs Huachipato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audax Italiano win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Audax Italiano 47%, draw 26%, Huachipato 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audax Italiano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audax Italiano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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