Al Ahli Manama 4-3 Malkiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 May 2025

📅27/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.96
2-3 Goals
47%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Malkiya EU Bookmakers 26%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.33/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.94
-22% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Malkiya
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.02.2025 Malkiya Malkiya 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
03.04.2021 Malkiya Malkiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
10.12.2020 Malkiya Malkiya 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
21.11.2020 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-4 HT 0-2 Malkiya Malkiya BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
4-3
AWAY Malkiya
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Malkiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama nicked a narrow win over Malkiya 4-3. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli Manama as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 37% of the ball to Malkiya's 63%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Malkiya led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 1.50 for Malkiya.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Malkiya?

Al Ahli Manama 4-3 Malkiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Malkiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 43%, draw 30%, Malkiya 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Manama), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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