Criciuma vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Criciuma
BRK
1-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Coritiba
BR2
2-2
HT 2-1
Coritiba
BR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Criciuma
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Criciuma
BR1
Criciuma 0-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba edged past Criciuma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Criciuma at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Criciuma had 48% of the ball to Coritiba's 52%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Criciuma.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Criciuma and 1.33 for Coritiba.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Coritiba?
Criciuma 0-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Coritiba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 44%, draw 29%, Coritiba 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Criciuma) went the other way.