Criciuma vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Criciuma v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Criciuma 0-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics
Coritiba edged past Criciuma 1-0 away from home. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Criciuma at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Coritiba saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.26 to 0.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Criciuma.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Criciuma against 1.33 for Coritiba.
Criciuma vs Coritiba Result & Final Score
Criciuma 0 - 1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Criciuma vs Coritiba Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 41%, draw 33%, Coritiba 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Criciuma) went the other way.