Cuiaba 1-0 Vila Nova — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Brazil - Serie B, 27 May 2025

Cuiaba Elo 1713 · World #292 (clubs) DWDLL→
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Vila Nova Elo 1715 · World #282 (clubs) LWLWL→
📅27/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 09:56
Match Result
Home
42%
2.13
Draw
35%
2.76
Away
23%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
72%
1.39
Over
28%
2.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.43
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
46%
2-3
42%
4-5
11%
6+
1%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
25%
2/1
2%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Cuiaba v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cuiaba The Market 47%
Signal
AWAY Vila Nova The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.30 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.73
0.93 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
Great Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3

Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Vila Nova
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.31 xG 1.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
342 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.03.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-1 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BRVK
16.03.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-2 HT 0-2 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRVK
08.02.2021 Vila Nova Vila Nova 3-0 HT 2-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRVK
30.11.2019 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-2 HT 0-1 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
28.08.2019 Vila Nova Vila Nova 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2

Cuiaba 1-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
1 - 0
AWAY Vila Nova
0.79 xG 0.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
372 Passes 305
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Cuiaba vs Vila Nova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cuiaba nicked a narrow win over Vila Nova 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cuiaba as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (60%) landed.

On the day, Cuiaba had 55% of the ball to Vila Nova's 45%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.79 to 0.22.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Cuiaba and 1.20 for Vila Nova.

Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Result & Final Score

Cuiaba 1 - 0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cuiaba vs Vila Nova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 42%, draw 35%, Vila Nova 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuiaba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
27 May 2025
01:00 Criciuma vs Coritiba Analysis →
02:00 Botafogo SP vs CRB Analysis →