FK Kazlu Ruda Kaunas 1-4 Lietava Jonava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 27 May 2025

📅27/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
58%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
15%
+7.8pp
58%
Away Win
74%
-15.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Kazlu Ruda Kaunas EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 79%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -74%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH FK Kazlu Ruda Kaunas vs Lietava Jonava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava cruised past FK Kazlu Ruda Kaunas 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lietava Jonava as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of FK Kazlu Ruda Kaunas vs Lietava Jonava?

FK Kazlu Ruda Kaunas 1-4 Lietava Jonava in the Lithuania - Cup on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Kazlu Ruda Kaunas vs Lietava Jonava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lietava Jonava win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FK Kazlu Ruda Kaunas 19%, draw 23%, Lietava Jonava 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lietava Jonava), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lietava Jonava) ✓ Over 2.5
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