Banga Gargzdai 0-1 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 27 May 2025

📅27/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / +60%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FA Siauliai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-0 HT 2-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
05.04.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-2 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
24.08.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 4-1 HT 3-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
23.06.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
28.04.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
10.03.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai edged past Banga Gargzdai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Banga Gargzdai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.17 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Banga Gargzdai 0-1 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - Cup on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 41%, draw 24%, FA Siauliai 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Banga Gargzdai), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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