Bourj 2-1 Shabab Al Ghazieh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 27 May 2025

Bourj
2-1 HT 2-1
Shabab Al Ghazieh
📅27/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bourj v Shabab Al Ghazieh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourj EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ghazieh EU Bookmakers 25%
-74% / -74% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.00
-29% / -88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourj
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shabab Al Ghazieh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
15.03.2025 Bourj 1-1 HT 1-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh Shabab Al Ghazieh LUBN
POST-MATCH Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourj edged past Shabab Al Ghazieh 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bourj as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Bourj 2-1 Shabab Al Ghazieh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourj win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bourj 46%, draw 22%, Shabab Al Ghazieh 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourj) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bourj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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