Deportivo Recoleta 1-2 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 27 May 2025

📅27/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.88
No
62%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-11.2pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 53%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.49/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/0.69
-52% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
1-2
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Recoleta 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sportivo Trinidense as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 61% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 39%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Deportivo Recoleta 1-2 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 29%, draw 28%, Sportivo Trinidense 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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