Union Brescia 2-0 Salernitana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 May 2026

Union Brescia
2-0 HT 1-0
Salernitana
📅27/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Union Brescia vs Salernitana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.41
2-3 Goals
36%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
4.35
6+ Goals
9%
23.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.41 — our 39% vs market 33.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Brescia v Salernitana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Brescia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Salernitana EU Bookmakers 36%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.53/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.62
+23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Union Brescia vs Salernitana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Brescia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Salernitana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
The Meetings
24.05.2026 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Brescia İTC

Union Brescia 2-0 Salernitana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Brescia
2-0
AWAY Salernitana
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Union Brescia vs Salernitana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Brescia saw off Salernitana 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Union Brescia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Union Brescia had 51% of the ball to Salernitana's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Union Brescia vs Salernitana?

Union Brescia 2-0 Salernitana in the Italy - Serie C on 27/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Brescia vs Salernitana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Brescia 40%, draw 31%, Salernitana 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Brescia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İTC More Italy - Serie C
27 May 2026
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