Lilleström 2-1 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Jun 2024

📅27/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.8
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
11%
4.7
X/2
13%
6.9
X/X
11%
5.1
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
18%
4.78
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
29%
+9.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.38/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.14
-17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
23.3 Crosses 2.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
4W-0D-0L
AWAY KFUM Oslo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
09.03.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 3-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo HAZ
02.12.2020 Lilleström Lilleström 2-0 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
11.08.2020 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-2 HT 1-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
09.05.2018 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-3 HT 0-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
2-1
AWAY KFUM Oslo
1.13 xG 0.99
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
332 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström nicked a narrow win over KFUM Oslo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Lilleström made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Lilleström had 51% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 49%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.13 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lilleström and 0.75 for KFUM Oslo.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs KFUM Oslo?

Lilleström 2-1 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 38%, draw 24%, KFUM Oslo 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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