Sandefjord 1-2 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Jun 2024

Sandefjord
1-2 HT 1-1
HamKam
📅27/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Sandefjord vs HamKam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.79
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
10%
4.84
X/2
13%
6.95
X/X
15%
5.39
2/1
13%
22.7
2/2
11%
4.6
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sandefjord v HamKam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 33%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.58/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.18
+38% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.8 Crosses 20.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Sandefjord vs HamKam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
1W-0D-5L
AWAY HamKam
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.77 xG 1.84
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
380 Passes 217
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 29
30 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-1 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
10.04.2023 HamKam HamKam 2-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
30.10.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
18.04.2022 HamKam HamKam 3-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
29.09.2019 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR1
28.07.2019 HamKam HamKam 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1

Sandefjord 1-2 HamKam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
1-2
AWAY HamKam
0.62 xG 1.83
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
431 Passes 205
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
35 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam edged past Sandefjord 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day HamKam made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Sandefjord had 64% of the ball to HamKam's 36%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.62 to 1.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold HamKam's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HamKam led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sandefjord and 1.50 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs HamKam?

Sandefjord 1-2 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 39%, draw 28%, HamKam 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandefjord) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
27 Jun 2024
22:15 Lilleström vs KFUM Oslo Analysis →