AFC Malmö 1-2 Rosengard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosengard EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.71/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.87
+7% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +76%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Malmö
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Rosengard
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Rosengard Rosengard 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
08.05.2024 AFC Malmö 2-2 HT 1-2 Rosengard Rosengard İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
1-2
AWAY Rosengard
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Rosengard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosengard squeezed past AFC Malmö 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Rosengard made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 42% of the ball to Rosengard's 58%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Malmö and 1.00 for Rosengard.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Rosengard?

AFC Malmö 1-2 Rosengard in the Sweden - 1st Division on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Rosengard?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 37%, draw 31%, Rosengard 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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