Karbala 2-4 Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Jun 2025

Karbala
2-4 HT 2-1
Naft
📅27/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.09
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
39%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
17%
+12.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.7pp
39%
Away Win
57%
-17.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karbala EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft EU Bookmakers 61%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-67% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
195 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karbala
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.02.2025 Naft Naft 1-0 HT 0-0 Karbala Karbala IRAK
POST-MATCH Karbala vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft saw off Karbala 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Naft found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Karbala vs Naft?

Karbala 2-4 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karbala vs Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Karbala 29%, draw 32%, Naft 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naft) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naft) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
27 Jun 2025
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