Diala 2-2 Naft Al-Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.2pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diala EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 27%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.99
+60% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diala
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Al-Basra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.01.2025 Naft Al-Basra Naft Al-Basra 1-0 HT 0-0 Diala Diala IRAK
POST-MATCH Diala vs Naft Al-Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diala and Naft Al-Basra shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Diala at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Diala vs Naft Al-Basra?

Diala 2-2 Naft Al-Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diala vs Naft Al-Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diala win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Diala 43%, draw 24%, Naft Al-Basra 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Diala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
27 Jun 2025
19:00 Karbala vs Naft Analysis →