Zalgiris II 2-3 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
6.35
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.29
Over 2.5
68%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.73
No
40%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
13%
+10.3pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.3pp
60%
Away Win
70%
-10.0pp
32%
Under 2.5
40%
-8.1pp
68%
Over 2.5
60%
+8.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
54%
+6.1pp
40%
BTTS No
46%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 75%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.28/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.76/1.22
+46% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -27%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris II
0W-1D-1L
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 2-2 HT 1-2 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
13.05.2023 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris II
2-3
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zalgiris II vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius nicked a narrow win over Zalgiris II 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had TransINVEST Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zalgiris II had 42% of the ball to TransINVEST Vilnius's 58%, shots finished 14-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, TransINVEST Vilnius led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zalgiris II and 2.50 for TransINVEST Vilnius.

What was the final score of Zalgiris II vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Zalgiris II 2-3 TransINVEST Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris II vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an TransINVEST Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris II 23%, draw 17%, TransINVEST Vilnius 60%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TransINVEST Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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