Hegelmann II 1-0 Tauras Taurage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
52%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.4pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.9pp
52%
Away Win
64%
-11.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 69%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.47/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.95
+43% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
254 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann II
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Tauras Taurage
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 7
17.08.2024 Hegelmann II 3-3 HT 0-1 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage LIT1
23.03.2024 Tauras Taurage Tauras Taurage 1-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann II LIT1
POST-MATCH Hegelmann II vs Tauras Taurage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann II nicked a narrow win over Tauras Taurage 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tauras Taurage at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hegelmann II and 2.00 for Tauras Taurage.

What was the final score of Hegelmann II vs Tauras Taurage?

Hegelmann II 1-0 Tauras Taurage in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann II vs Tauras Taurage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann II 27%, draw 21%, Tauras Taurage 52%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Tauras Taurage), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tauras Taurage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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