Tauras Taurage 1-1 Hegelmann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tauras Taurage EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann II EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tauras Taurage vs Hegelmann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tauras Taurage and Hegelmann II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs Hegelmann II?

Tauras Taurage 1-1 Hegelmann II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs Hegelmann II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann II win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 34%, draw 31%, Hegelmann II 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hegelmann II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hegelmann II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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