Garliava 1-0 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Garliava EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.14/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.61
-28% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Garliava
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Ekranas
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Garliava Garliava 4-0 HT 3-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
25.06.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 1-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
20.08.2022 Ekranas Ekranas 3-3 HT 2-0 Garliava Garliava LIT1
POST-MATCH Garliava vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Garliava nicked a narrow win over Ekranas 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Garliava as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Garliava and 1.33 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Garliava vs Ekranas?

Garliava 1-0 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Garliava vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Garliava win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Garliava 44%, draw 31%, Ekranas 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Garliava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Garliava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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