Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 27 Jun 2026

📅27/06/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.33
No
68%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+1.4pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.5pp
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
-6.3pp
68%
BTTS No
61%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.73/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.00
-19% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
247 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2026 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 2-0 HT 0-0 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
08.04.2025 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
06.11.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
21.06.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 1-3 HT 0-1 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-1
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena and Dire Dawa Kenema couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dire Dawa Kenema at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 44% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 56%, shots finished 4-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hadiya Hosaena had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Hadiya Hosaena and 1.00 for Dire Dawa Kenema.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dire Dawa Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 25%, draw 34%, Dire Dawa Kenema 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dire Dawa Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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