Pors Grenland 2-4 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 27 Jun 2026

📅27/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.03
Over 2.5
42%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.03
6+ Goals
8%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
45%
+12.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
55%
-12.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 45%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
0.83/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.44
-50% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pors Grenland
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Arendal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.08.2025 Arendal Arendal 3-1 HT 1-0 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland NOR3
05.07.2025 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 1-0 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
18.05.2022 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 2-3 HT 0-2 Arendal Arendal NOK
POST-MATCH Pors Grenland vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal beat Pors Grenland 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Arendal found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arendal led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pors Grenland and 2.00 for Arendal.

What was the final score of Pors Grenland vs Arendal?

Pors Grenland 2-4 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pors Grenland vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pors Grenland 31%, draw 31%, Arendal 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arendal), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arendal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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