Pors Grenland 1-0 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
52%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
52%
Away Win
60%
-8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pors Grenland EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 64%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -21%
0.99/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.62
-10% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
256 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pors Grenland
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arendal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
18.05.2022 Pors Grenland Pors Grenland 2-3 HT 0-2 Arendal Arendal NOK
POST-MATCH Pors Grenland vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pors Grenland edged past Arendal 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arendal at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Pors Grenland vs Arendal?

Pors Grenland 1-0 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pors Grenland vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Pors Grenland 25%, draw 23%, Arendal 52%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arendal) ✗ BTTS Yes
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