Vard Haugesund 4-4 Lysekloster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.37
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
30%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 38%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.49/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.13
-15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lysekloster
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
31.08.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-3 HT 0-2 Lysekloster Lysekloster NOR3
13.04.2024 Lysekloster Lysekloster 1-3 HT 0-2 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
23.03.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-4 Lysekloster Lysekloster HAZ
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Lysekloster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund and Lysekloster shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lysekloster led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vard Haugesund and 2.67 for Lysekloster.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Lysekloster?

Vard Haugesund 4-4 Lysekloster in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Lysekloster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vard Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 37%, draw 26%, Lysekloster 37%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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