Lysekloster 1-3 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

Lysekloster
1-3 HT 0-2
Vard Haugesund
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Lysekloster vs Vard Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.23
Over 2.5
63%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.5
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
31%
2.91
6+ Goals
16%
8.41
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lysekloster v Vard Haugesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.2

Lysekloster vs Vard Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lysekloster
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-4 Lysekloster Lysekloster HAZ
POST-MATCH Lysekloster vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund beat Lysekloster 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Lysekloster at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Lysekloster vs Vard Haugesund?

Lysekloster 1-3 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lysekloster vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lysekloster win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lysekloster 51%, draw 25%, Vard Haugesund 25%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lysekloster) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lysekloster) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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