Junkeren 2-5 Grorud IL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

Junkeren
2-5 HT 1-4
Grorud IL
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Junkeren vs Grorud IL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.0
2-3 Goals
47%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 24% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Junkeren v Grorud IL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junkeren EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Grorud IL EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.99/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.03
-41% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Junkeren vs Grorud IL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grorud IL swept aside Junkeren 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Grorud IL made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Junkeren vs Grorud IL?

Junkeren 2-5 Grorud IL in the Norway - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junkeren vs Grorud IL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grorud IL win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Junkeren 34%, draw 29%, Grorud IL 37%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grorud IL), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Grorud IL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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