Ullensaker / Kisa 1-2 Strommen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Strommen EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.00/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.83
-47% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Strommen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Strommen Strommen 1-0 HT 0-0 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR3
21.07.2023 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa 1-4 HT 0-1 Strommen Strommen NOR3
01.11.2021 Strommen Strommen 2-1 HT 2-0 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR1
17.07.2021 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Strommen Strommen NOR1
21.11.2020 Strommen Strommen 3-1 HT 2-1 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR1
03.07.2020 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa 4-0 HT 3-0 Strommen Strommen NOR1
POST-MATCH Ullensaker / Kisa vs Strommen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Strommen edged past Ullensaker / Kisa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ullensaker / Kisa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Strommen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ullensaker / Kisa and 1.67 for Strommen.

What was the final score of Ullensaker / Kisa vs Strommen?

Ullensaker / Kisa 1-2 Strommen in the Norway - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullensaker / Kisa vs Strommen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ullensaker / Kisa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ullensaker / Kisa 42%, draw 26%, Strommen 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ullensaker / Kisa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ullensaker / Kisa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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