Vard Haugesund 1-3 Lysekloster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.77
2-3 Goals
39%
2.04
4-5 Goals
23%
2.61
6+ Goals
11%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
40%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.1pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.45/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.98
-20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +69%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
428 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lysekloster
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
13.04.2024 Lysekloster Lysekloster 1-3 HT 0-2 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
23.03.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-4 Lysekloster Lysekloster HAZ
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Lysekloster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lysekloster saw off Vard Haugesund 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lysekloster as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vard Haugesund and 2.50 for Lysekloster.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Lysekloster?

Vard Haugesund 1-3 Lysekloster in the Norway - 2nd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Lysekloster?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lysekloster win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 30%, draw 28%, Lysekloster 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lysekloster), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lysekloster) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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