Notodden 1-0 Flekkeroy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 5 Jul 2025

Notodden
1-0 HT 0-0
Flekkeroy
📅05/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2025

Notodden vs Flekkeroy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
2.76
6+ Goals
14%
7.59
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 29.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notodden v Flekkeroy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Flekkeroy EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.73/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.66
-4% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Notodden vs Flekkeroy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Flekkeroy
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 3-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
11.11.2023 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 4-1 HT 2-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
22.04.2023 Notodden Notodden 0-0 HT 0-0 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
11.09.2022 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 1-0 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
28.05.2022 Notodden Notodden 0-4 HT 0-1 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy NOR3
05.09.2021 Flekkeroy Flekkeroy 1-1 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3

Notodden 1-0 Flekkeroy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notodden
1-0
AWAY Flekkeroy
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Flekkeroy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden edged past Flekkeroy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Notodden as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Notodden had 49% of the ball to Flekkeroy's 51%, shots finished 14-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flekkeroy led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Notodden and 2.17 for Flekkeroy.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Flekkeroy?

Notodden 1-0 Flekkeroy in the Norway - 2nd Division on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Flekkeroy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notodden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Notodden 45%, draw 24%, Flekkeroy 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notodden) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Notodden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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