Changchun YaTai 1-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — China - Super League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 23:38
Match Result
HomeVIEW
72%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.5
Away
11%
6.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.28
Over
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
17%
5.05
2-3
42%
1.96
4-5
30%
2.75
6+
11%
7.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.63
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.7
X/1
20%
3.67
X/2
4%
15.7
X/X
9%
7.26
2/1
3%
20.95
2/2
6%
11.6
2/X
4%
19.1
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Changchun YaTai The Market 73%
Signal
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions The Market 15%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.06 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.69
0.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.68
– Attack Strength Bad
– Defense Strength Weak
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
434 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
– Crosses 10
– Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.62 xG 1.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
410 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-0 HT 1-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
20.08.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-1 HT 1-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
19.05.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 2-4 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
26.11.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-2 HT 0-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
28.08.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-2 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
1 - 0
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2.01 xG 0.29
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
306 Passes 297
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Changchun YaTai vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Changchun YaTai nicked a narrow win over Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Changchun YaTai as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (64%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Changchun YaTai had 50% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 50%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.01 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Changchun YaTai's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Changchun YaTai had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Changchun YaTai and 1.60 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

Changchun YaTai vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Result & Final Score

Changchun YaTai 1 - 0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China - Super League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Changchun YaTai vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 72%, draw 17%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changchun YaTai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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