Ayr United 3-2 Buckie Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
16.45
2-3 Goals
35%
3.26
4-5 Goals
26%
2.31
6+ Goals
18%
2.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
85%
-14.7pp
19%
Draw
8%
+10.6pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Buckie Thistle EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.93/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/3.91
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Buckie Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United edged past Buckie Thistle 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Buckie Thistle?

Ayr United 3-2 Buckie Thistle in the Scotland - League Cup on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Buckie Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 70%, draw 19%, Buckie Thistle 11%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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