Greenock Morton 2-1 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 27 Jul 2024

Greenock Morton
2-1 HT 1-0
Alloa Athletic
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - League Cup – 2024/2025

Greenock Morton vs Alloa Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 29% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greenock Morton v Alloa Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.22/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.60
+38% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +125%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Greenock Morton vs Alloa Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
The Meetings
24.04.2021 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-1 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
02.01.2021 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
17.10.2020 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 1-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
22.02.2020 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 4-4 HT 4-2 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
21.12.2019 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
10.08.2019 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 4-1 HT 1-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İKCL
FAQ Greenock Morton vs Alloa Athletic
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Greenock Morton edged past Alloa Athletic 2-1 in the Scotland - League Cup on 27 Jul 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton have the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.17 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Alloa Athletic?

Greenock Morton 2-1 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - League Cup on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenock Morton win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 46%, draw 24%, Alloa Athletic 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenock Morton) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greenock Morton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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