Falkirk 4-0 Stenhousemuir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.83
2-3 Goals
32%
2.17
4-5 Goals
32%
2.48
6+ Goals
16%
4.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
77%
-15.5pp
22%
Draw
14%
+8.1pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.3pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
3.40/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.79
+25% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Stenhousemuir
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
24.11.2018 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 4-2 HT 2-2 Falkirk Falkirk İKK
01.12.2012 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 0-1 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKK
24.08.2011 Falkirk Falkirk 3-1 HT 0-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKLK
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Stenhousemuir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk cruised past Stenhousemuir 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Falkirk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Falkirk and 1.67 for Stenhousemuir.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Stenhousemuir?

Falkirk 4-0 Stenhousemuir in the Scotland - League Cup on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Stenhousemuir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 62%, draw 22%, Stenhousemuir 16%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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