San Lorenzo 1-1 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
72%
1.33
Over
28%
2.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.71
No
65%
1.4
Total Goals
0-1
40%
1.77
2-3
42%
1.94
4-5
12%
8.4
6+
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.8
X/1
15%
4.11
X/2
9%
6.71
X/X
22%
3.04
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
6.36
2/X
5%
17.4
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME San Lorenzo The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys The Market 28%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.34 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.89
0.84 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.33
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.8 Crosses 15.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 0.92
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 331
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-2 HT 2-2 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
07.10.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 0-3 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
21.03.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
10.06.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
28.04.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-2 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
12.12.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 3-2 HT 2-2 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
1-1
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.81 xG 1.56
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 2
17 Corners 1
308 Passes 165
73% Pass Accuracy 61%
25 Box Touches 19
43 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

San Lorenzo and Newells Old Boys traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

A draw from a 41% / 36% / 23% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (72%) came in, no to both teams scoring (65%) didn't.

By the numbers, San Lorenzo had 62% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 38%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 0.81 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.50 for Newells Old Boys.

San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys Result & Final Score

San Lorenzo 1-1 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 41%, draw 36%, Newells Old Boys 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (San Lorenzo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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