Dender EH 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
54%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
10%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.77
1/2
6%
21.85
1/X
5%
14.7
X/1
10%
10.8
X/2
15%
4.13
X/X
11%
5.63
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
33%
2.02
2/X
4%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+6.3pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
54%
Away Win
57%
-3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 61%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
0.91/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/1.27
-24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
322 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
Crosses 16.2
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
0-0
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.43 xG 0.80
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
195 Passes 576
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH and Union Saint-Gilloise played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Union Saint-Gilloise at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Dender EH had 31% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 69%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.43 to 0.80.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Dender EH 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 26%, draw 21%, Union Saint-Gilloise 54%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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